Scouting Report
Darren Helm holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Komarov on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Helm 52.4% vs Komarov 49.7% (+3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Helm 57.4%
Defensive zone
Helm 53.8%
Neutral zone
Helm 52.2%
Result
Darren Helm favored at 54.7%
54.7%
45.3%
Helm
Komarov
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Helm
Komarov
Last 6: Helm 3-3 Komarov
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Helm
2
0
Helm
Komarov
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Komarov
1
2
Helm
Komarov
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Komarov
0
1
Helm
Komarov
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Helm
Komarov
Edge
Even Strength
55.2% (330)
54.1% (159)
+1.1%
Power Play
61.1% (18)
0.0% (2)
+61.1%
Penalty Kill
41.1% (73)
29.0% (31)
+12.1%
On power play, Helm has a +61.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Komarov shoots left. Helm is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (278).
Helm shoots left. Komarov is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (110).
Home / Away
Helm
Komarov
Home
53.3% (214)
48.6% (107)
Away
52.7% (207)
50.6% (85)
By Period
Helm
Komarov
P1
52.5%
44.8%
P2
57.6%
50.0%
P3
47.7%
53.0%
OT
75.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.5%
42.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Helm
34.0%▼
44.5%
53.0%
Komarov
46.0%▲
42.0%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2014 | 3 | 15:51 | Defensive | Darren Helm |
| Nov 22, 2014 | 1 | 16:21 | Offensive | Darren Helm |
| Oct 18, 2014 | 2 | 11:46 | Offensive | Darren Helm |
| Oct 18, 2014 | 2 | 01:21 | Defensive | Leo Komarov |
| Oct 18, 2014 | 1 | 02:46 | Defensive | Leo Komarov |
| Oct 18, 2014 | 1 | 00:20 | Neutral | Leo Komarov |