Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.6% vs 53.4%). Look for Couture on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Helm 52.3% vs Couture 53.0% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Couture 65.2%
Defensive zone
Helm 79.4%
Neutral zone
Helm 53.0%
Result
Darren Helm favored at 61.6%
61.6%
38.4%
Helm
Couture
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Helm
Couture
Last 5: Helm 1-4 Couture
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couture
0
2
Helm
Couture
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couture
1
2
Helm
Couture
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Helm
Couture
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (678)
53.5% (709)
-0.6%
Power Play
53.8% (13)
55.4% (139)
-1.6%
Penalty Kill
50.6% (235)
42.4% (33)
+8.2%
On penalty kill, Helm has a +8.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couture shoots left. Helm is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (618).
Helm shoots left. Couture is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (602).
Home / Away
Helm
Couture
Home
56.5% (444)
55.3% (454)
Away
49.0% (494)
51.4% (434)
By Period
Helm
Couture
P1
54.6%
52.4%
P2
51.8%
57.3%
P3
51.4%
50.3%
OT
60.0%
53.3%
Final 5 min
52.8%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Helm
34.0%▼
44.5%
52.6%
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2011 | 1 | 02:36 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Dec 6, 2010 | 3 | 02:36 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Dec 6, 2010 | 2 | 17:50 | Defensive | Darren Helm |
| Dec 6, 2010 | 2 | 17:44 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Dec 6, 2010 | 1 | 05:02 | Defensive | Logan Couture |