Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.7% vs 51.6%). Look for Helm on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Helm 50.7% vs Chaput 51.5% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Helm 50.9%
Defensive zone
Helm 50.5%
Neutral zone
Chaput 59.9%
Result
Michael Chaput favored at 55.4%
44.6%
55.4%
Helm
Chaput
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Helm
Chaput
Last 7: Helm 4-3 Chaput
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Chaput
0
1
Helm
Chaput
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Helm
Chaput
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Helm
3
1
Helm
Chaput
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Helm
Chaput
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (2,790)
52.2% (1,168)
-1.1%
Power Play
54.7% (148)
42.9% (14)
+11.8%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (719)
42.9% (70)
+5.1%
On power play, Helm has a +11.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Chaput shoots left. Helm is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,435).
Helm shoots left. Chaput is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (804).
Home / Away
Helm
Chaput
Home
51.8% (1,800)
53.5% (602)
Away
49.7% (1,877)
49.8% (650)
By Period
Helm
Chaput
P1
49.5%
48.6%
P2
52.8%
51.6%
P3
49.7%
54.5%
Final 5 min
50.8%
52.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Helm
34.0%▼
44.5%
50.7%
Chaput
56.0%▲
46.5%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2016 | 3 | 08:41 | Neutral | Michael Chaput |
| Nov 10, 2016 | 1 | 18:13 | Neutral | Darren Helm |
| Nov 18, 2014 | 3 | 18:42 | Defensive | Michael Chaput |
| Nov 18, 2014 | 3 | 18:33 | Defensive | Darren Helm |
| Nov 18, 2014 | 3 | 12:28 | Offensive | Michael Chaput |
| Nov 18, 2014 | 2 | 05:11 | Neutral | Darren Helm |
| Nov 18, 2014 | 2 | 02:30 | Neutral | Darren Helm |