Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.6% vs 52.8%). Look for Helm on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Helm 52.3% vs Koivu 52.6% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Helm leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Koivu 72.4%
Defensive zone
Helm 66.5%
Neutral zone
Koivu 59.8%
Result
Darren Helm favored at 50.8%
50.8%
49.2%
Helm
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
Helm
Koivu
Last 10: Helm 7-3 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
0
2
Helm
Koivu
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Helm
5
0
Helm
Koivu
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Helm
2
1
Helm
Koivu
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Helm
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (678)
51.7% (842)
+1.2%
Power Play
53.8% (13)
55.2% (248)
-1.4%
Penalty Kill
50.6% (235)
55.6% (178)
-5.0%
On penalty kill, Koivu has a +5.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Helm is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (618).
Helm shoots left. Koivu is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (944).
Home / Away
Helm
Koivu
Home
56.5% (444)
54.1% (621)
Away
49.0% (494)
51.6% (672)
By Period
Helm
Koivu
P1
54.6%
52.0%
P2
51.8%
55.5%
P3
51.4%
51.2%
OT
60.0%
45.5%
Final 5 min
52.8%
50.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Helm
34.0%▼
44.5%
52.6%
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
52.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2011 | 2 | 06:13 | Defensive | Darren Helm |
| Dec 26, 2010 | 3 | 14:39 | Defensive | Darren Helm |
| Dec 26, 2010 | 3 | 01:05 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 26, 2010 | 3 | 00:59 | Defensive | Darren Helm |
| Dec 26, 2010 | 3 | 00:54 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 26, 2010 | 2 | 19:43 | Neutral | Darren Helm |
| Dec 26, 2010 | 2 | 08:33 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 26, 2010 | 1 | 05:03 | Defensive | Darren Helm |
| Nov 19, 2010 | 3 | 09:20 | Neutral | Darren Helm |
| Nov 19, 2010 | 1 | 06:13 | Defensive | Darren Helm |