Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.1% vs 48.9%). Look for Bjugstad on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Helm wins 46.1% vs right-shot opponents — Bjugstad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Helm 49.2% vs Bjugstad 49.0% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bjugstad 55.8%
Defensive zone
Helm 60.7%
Neutral zone
Helm 50.7%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 51.9%
48.1%
51.9%
Helm
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Helm
Bjugstad
Last 5: Helm 1-4 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
0
2
Helm
Bjugstad
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
1
2
Helm
Bjugstad
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Helm
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
48.4% (438)
48.3% (937)
+0.1%
Power Play
60.0% (30)
56.1% (148)
+3.9%
Penalty Kill
48.8% (80)
34.2% (38)
+14.6%
On penalty kill, Helm has a +14.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Helm is 46.1% vs right-shot opponents (193).
Helm shoots left. Bjugstad is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (764).
Home / Away
Helm
Bjugstad
Home
47.1% (276)
50.5% (574)
Away
51.1% (272)
47.2% (549)
By Period
Helm
Bjugstad
P1
47.9%
52.4%
P2
52.7%
46.8%
P3
46.2%
45.5%
OT
53.8%
78.3%
Final 5 min
41.7%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Helm
34.0%▼
44.5%
49.1%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2014 | 3 | 05:16 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Feb 6, 2014 | 2 | 08:01 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Feb 6, 2014 | 1 | 10:32 | Neutral | Darren Helm |
| Jan 26, 2014 | OT | 03:59 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 26, 2014 | 3 | 09:12 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |