Scouting Report
Darren Helm holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Varone on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Helm 50.7% vs Varone 47.7% (+3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Varone 55.1%
Defensive zone
Helm 56.0%
Neutral zone
Varone 55.3%
Result
Darren Helm favored at 51.5%
51.5%
48.5%
Helm
Varone
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Helm
Varone
Last 5: Helm 2-3 Varone
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Helm
1
0
Helm
Varone
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Varone
1
2
Helm
Varone
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Varone
0
1
Helm
Varone
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Helm
Varone
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (2,790)
47.5% (575)
+3.6%
Power Play
54.7% (148)
38.5% (13)
+16.2%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (719)
50.0% (2)
-2.0%
On power play, Helm has a +16.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Varone shoots left. Helm is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,435).
Helm shoots left. Varone is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (365).
Home / Away
Helm
Varone
Home
51.8% (1,800)
48.0% (221)
Away
49.7% (1,877)
46.9% (369)
By Period
Helm
Varone
P1
49.5%
50.0%
P2
52.8%
42.7%
P3
49.7%
50.0%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
50.8%
44.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Helm
34.0%▼
44.5%
50.7%
Varone
40.0%▼
50.5%
47.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2015 | 3 | 10:09 | Defensive | Phil Varone |
| Jan 13, 2015 | 2 | 04:10 | Defensive | Darren Helm |
| Jan 13, 2015 | 1 | 09:04 | Offensive | Darren Helm |
| Jan 13, 2015 | 1 | 04:21 | Neutral | Phil Varone |
| Jan 13, 2015 | 1 | 01:40 | Defensive | Phil Varone |