Scouting Report
Darren Helm holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Varone on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Helm 52.4% vs Varone 46.2% (+7.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Varone 53.3%
Defensive zone
Varone 55.2%
Neutral zone
Varone 53.6%
Result
Phil Varone favored at 54.5%
45.5%
54.5%
Helm
Varone
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Helm
Varone
Last 5: Helm 2-3 Varone
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Helm
1
0
Helm
Varone
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Varone
1
2
Helm
Varone
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Varone
0
1
Helm
Varone
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Helm
Varone
Edge
Even Strength
55.2% (330)
45.4% (315)
+9.8%
Power Play
61.1% (18)
36.4% (11)
+24.7%
On power play, Helm has a +24.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Varone shoots left. Helm is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (278).
Helm shoots left. Varone is 41.5% vs left-shot opponents (188).
Home / Away
Helm
Varone
Home
53.3% (214)
44.5% (119)
Away
52.7% (207)
45.4% (207)
By Period
Helm
Varone
P1
52.5%
44.5%
P2
57.6%
38.6%
P3
47.7%
53.5%
OT
75.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
54.5%
36.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Helm
34.0%▼
44.5%
53.0%
Varone
40.0%▼
50.5%
45.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2015 | 3 | 10:09 | Defensive | Phil Varone |
| Jan 13, 2015 | 2 | 04:10 | Defensive | Darren Helm |
| Jan 13, 2015 | 1 | 09:04 | Offensive | Darren Helm |
| Jan 13, 2015 | 1 | 04:21 | Neutral | Phil Varone |
| Jan 13, 2015 | 1 | 01:40 | Defensive | Phil Varone |