Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.7% vs 50.1%). Look for Umberger on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Helm 50.7% vs Umberger 50.1% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Helm leads 10-8 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Umberger 72.3%
Defensive zone
Helm 77.4%
Neutral zone
Helm 54.2%
Result
Darren Helm favored at 53.1%
53.1%
46.9%
Helm
Umberger
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
8
(18 meetings)
10
8
Helm
Umberger
Last 10: Helm 6-4 Umberger
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Umberger
0
6
Helm
Umberger
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Helm
5
1
Helm
Umberger
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Helm
5
1
Helm
Umberger
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Helm
Umberger
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (2,790)
50.9% (387)
+0.2%
Power Play
54.7% (148)
49.8% (251)
+4.9%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (719)
46.6% (58)
+1.4%
On power play, Helm has a +4.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Umberger shoots left. Helm is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,435).
Helm shoots left. Umberger is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (479).
Home / Away
Helm
Umberger
Home
51.8% (1,800)
52.3% (365)
Away
49.7% (1,877)
47.6% (336)
By Period
Helm
Umberger
P1
49.5%
50.0%
P2
52.8%
49.3%
P3
49.7%
50.0%
OT
50.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
50.8%
48.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Helm
34.0%▼
44.5%
50.7%
Umberger
50.0%▼
53.0%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2012 | 3 | 03:43 | Neutral | R.J. Umberger |
| Feb 28, 2012 | 2 | 04:21 | Offensive | R.J. Umberger |
| Feb 28, 2012 | 1 | 06:21 | Defensive | Darren Helm |
| Oct 21, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Darren Helm |
| Oct 21, 2011 | 2 | 08:19 | Defensive | Darren Helm |
| Oct 21, 2011 | 1 | 04:28 | Neutral | Darren Helm |
| Mar 17, 2011 | 3 | 15:31 | Offensive | R.J. Umberger |
| Mar 17, 2011 | 3 | 13:22 | Defensive | Darren Helm |
| Mar 17, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Darren Helm |
| Nov 28, 2010 | 3 | 08:11 | Offensive | R.J. Umberger |
| Nov 28, 2010 | 2 | 07:55 | Offensive | R.J. Umberger |
| Nov 28, 2010 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Darren Helm |
| Nov 26, 2010 | 2 | 14:22 | Offensive | R.J. Umberger |
| Nov 26, 2010 | 2 | 11:29 | Defensive | R.J. Umberger |
| Nov 26, 2010 | 1 | 17:05 | Neutral | Darren Helm |
| Nov 26, 2010 | 1 | 17:02 | Defensive | Darren Helm |
| Nov 26, 2010 | 1 | 09:39 | Defensive | Darren Helm |
| Nov 26, 2010 | 1 | 01:15 | Offensive | R.J. Umberger |