Scouting Report
Darren Helm holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Helm on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Helm 51.7% vs Umberger 49.3% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Umberger 63.6%
Defensive zone
Helm 81.7%
Neutral zone
Helm 66.4%
Result
Darren Helm favored at 66.5%
66.5%
33.5%
Helm
Umberger
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Helm
Umberger
Last 6: Helm 4-2 Umberger
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Umberger
0
1
Helm
Umberger
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Helm
2
0
Helm
Umberger
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Helm
2
1
Helm
Umberger
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Helm
Umberger
Edge
Even Strength
51.4% (607)
50.6% (164)
+0.8%
Power Play
42.3% (26)
49.1% (114)
-6.8%
Penalty Kill
55.1% (136)
40.0% (25)
+15.1%
On penalty kill, Helm has a +15.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Umberger shoots left. Helm is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (540).
Helm shoots left. Umberger is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (204).
Home / Away
Helm
Umberger
Home
52.8% (371)
48.8% (166)
Away
51.0% (406)
49.3% (140)
By Period
Helm
Umberger
P1
50.4%
43.7%
P2
54.7%
52.6%
P3
50.6%
51.4%
OT
33.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
53.2%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Helm
34.0%▼
44.5%
51.9%
Umberger
50.0%▼
53.0%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2012 | 3 | 03:43 | Neutral | R.J. Umberger |
| Feb 28, 2012 | 2 | 04:21 | Offensive | R.J. Umberger |
| Feb 28, 2012 | 1 | 06:21 | Defensive | Darren Helm |
| Oct 21, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Darren Helm |
| Oct 21, 2011 | 2 | 08:19 | Defensive | Darren Helm |
| Oct 21, 2011 | 1 | 04:28 | Neutral | Darren Helm |