Scouting Report
Rich Peverley holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Peverley on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Helm 51.7% vs Peverley 58.6% (-9.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Helm 59.6%
Defensive zone
Helm 63.4%
Neutral zone
Helm 62.4%
Result
Darren Helm favored at 61.1%
61.1%
38.9%
Helm
Peverley
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Helm
Peverley
Last 5: Helm 2-3 Peverley
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Peverley
0
3
Helm
Peverley
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Helm
2
0
Helm
Peverley
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Helm
Peverley
Edge
Even Strength
51.4% (607)
59.2% (223)
-7.8%
Power Play
42.3% (26)
61.1% (54)
-18.8%
Penalty Kill
55.1% (136)
68.5% (54)
-13.4%
On power play, Peverley has a +18.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Peverley shoots right. Helm is 51.5% vs right-shot opponents (237).
Helm shoots left. Peverley is 63.0% vs left-shot opponents (243).
Home / Away
Helm
Peverley
Home
52.8% (371)
54.0% (161)
Away
51.0% (406)
67.8% (171)
By Period
Helm
Peverley
P1
50.4%
65.0%
P2
54.7%
53.0%
P3
50.6%
65.5%
OT
33.3%
100.0%
Final 5 min
53.2%
67.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Helm
34.0%▼
44.5%
51.9%
Peverley
60.0%▲
58.0%
61.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 25, 2011 | 3 | 11:48 | Offensive | Rich Peverley |
| Nov 25, 2011 | 3 | 08:00 | Offensive | Rich Peverley |
| Nov 25, 2011 | 2 | 05:59 | Defensive | Darren Helm |
| Nov 25, 2011 | 1 | 08:23 | Defensive | Darren Helm |
| Nov 25, 2011 | 1 | 08:19 | Offensive | Rich Peverley |