Scouting Report
Ryan Johnson holds a +12.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Johnson on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Helm 50.7% vs Johnson 60.0% (-12.4%)
H2H factor
Johnson leads 10-3 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Helm 84.1%
Defensive zone
Helm 84.8%
Neutral zone
Helm 85.5%
Result
Darren Helm favored at 84.7%
84.7%
15.3%
Helm
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
10
(13 meetings)
3
10
Helm
Johnson
Last 10: Helm 3-7 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
2
3
Helm
Johnson
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
1
3
Helm
Johnson
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johnson
0
4
Helm
Johnson
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Helm
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (2,790)
63.8% (260)
-12.7%
Power Play
54.7% (148)
50.0% (4)
+4.7%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (719)
63.0% (46)
-15.0%
On penalty kill, Johnson has a +15.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots left. Helm is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,435).
Helm shoots left. Johnson is 62.7% vs left-shot opponents (225).
Home / Away
Helm
Johnson
Home
51.8% (1,800)
69.8% (126)
Away
49.7% (1,877)
58.6% (186)
By Period
Helm
Johnson
P1
49.5%
63.0%
P2
52.8%
61.8%
P3
49.7%
66.0%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
50.8%
65.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Helm
34.0%▼
44.5%
50.7%
Johnson
66.0%▬
65.5%
63.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2011 | 2 | 02:02 | Defensive | Ryan Johnson |
| Apr 10, 2011 | 1 | 14:06 | Neutral | Ryan Johnson |
| Apr 10, 2011 | 1 | 08:25 | Defensive | Darren Helm |
| Apr 8, 2011 | 3 | 11:18 | Offensive | Ryan Johnson |
| Apr 8, 2011 | 3 | 07:50 | Offensive | Darren Helm |
| Apr 8, 2011 | 2 | 11:40 | Offensive | Darren Helm |
| Apr 8, 2011 | 1 | 00:52 | Neutral | Ryan Johnson |
| Mar 28, 2011 | 3 | 16:47 | Defensive | Ryan Johnson |
| Mar 28, 2011 | 3 | 02:26 | Neutral | Ryan Johnson |
| Mar 28, 2011 | 2 | 17:29 | Defensive | Ryan Johnson |
| Mar 28, 2011 | 2 | 02:20 | Offensive | Ryan Johnson |
| Dec 17, 2010 | 3 | 18:56 | Neutral | Ryan Johnson |
| Dec 17, 2010 | 3 | 04:09 | Offensive | Ryan Johnson |