Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.7% vs 47.6%). Look for Boyce on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boyce 48.1% vs Jeffrey 47.8% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jeffrey 57.3%
Defensive zone
Boyce 52.8%
Neutral zone
Jeffrey 54.3%
Result
Dustin Jeffrey favored at 51.5%
48.5%
51.5%
Boyce
Jeffrey
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Boyce
Jeffrey
Last 9: Boyce 5-4 Jeffrey
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jeffrey
0
1
Boyce
Jeffrey
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Boyce
Jeffrey
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Boyce
3
1
Boyce
Jeffrey
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boyce
Jeffrey
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (561)
47.5% (754)
+0.3%
Power Play
45.5% (22)
37.2% (43)
+8.3%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (29)
55.6% (36)
-10.8%
On penalty kill, Jeffrey has a +10.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jeffrey shoots left. Boyce is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (409).
Boyce shoots left. Jeffrey is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (552).
Home / Away
Boyce
Jeffrey
Home
52.2% (322)
49.0% (390)
Away
43.0% (298)
46.4% (455)
By Period
Boyce
Jeffrey
P1
49.8%
46.4%
P2
48.6%
48.1%
P3
44.6%
48.0%
OT
50.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
49.6%
46.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boyce
50.0%▲
48.0%
47.7%
Jeffrey
60.0%▲
54.5%
47.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2011 | OT | 01:05 | Offensive | Dustin Jeffrey |
| Feb 26, 2011 | OT | 00:56 | Defensive | Darryl Boyce |
| Feb 26, 2011 | 3 | 13:55 | Defensive | Dustin Jeffrey |
| Feb 26, 2011 | 3 | 10:17 | Defensive | Dustin Jeffrey |
| Feb 26, 2011 | 3 | 07:27 | Neutral | Darryl Boyce |
| Feb 26, 2011 | 3 | 04:12 | Neutral | Dustin Jeffrey |
| Feb 26, 2011 | 2 | 14:06 | Neutral | Darryl Boyce |
| Feb 26, 2011 | 2 | 05:35 | Defensive | Darryl Boyce |
| Feb 26, 2011 | 1 | 16:43 | Neutral | Darryl Boyce |