Scouting Report
Jake Dowell holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Dowell on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boyce 48.1% vs Dowell 48.8% (-1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dowell 53.1%
Defensive zone
Dowell 51.0%
Neutral zone
Dowell 53.6%
Result
Jake Dowell favored at 53.0%
47.0%
53.0%
Boyce
Dowell
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Boyce
Dowell
Last 5: Boyce 2-3 Dowell
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dowell
0
1
Boyce
Dowell
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Boyce
1
0
Boyce
Dowell
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowell
1
2
Boyce
Dowell
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boyce
Dowell
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (561)
49.1% (759)
-1.3%
Power Play
45.5% (22)
38.5% (13)
+7.0%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (29)
46.9% (81)
-2.1%
On power play, Boyce has a +7.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowell shoots left. Boyce is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (409).
Boyce shoots left. Dowell is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (627).
Home / Away
Boyce
Dowell
Home
52.2% (322)
51.8% (413)
Away
43.0% (298)
45.8% (443)
By Period
Boyce
Dowell
P1
49.8%
50.4%
P2
48.6%
46.6%
P3
44.6%
49.7%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
49.6%
47.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boyce
50.0%▲
48.0%
47.7%
Dowell
38.0%▼
47.0%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2011 | 3 | 04:07 | Neutral | Darryl Boyce |
| Mar 5, 2011 | 2 | 07:58 | Defensive | Darryl Boyce |
| Mar 5, 2011 | 1 | 07:34 | Offensive | Jake Dowell |
| Mar 5, 2011 | 1 | 04:13 | Neutral | Jake Dowell |
| Mar 5, 2011 | 1 | 01:10 | Neutral | Jake Dowell |