Scouting Report
Jay McClement holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for McClement on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Boyce wins 46.9% vs left-shot opponents — McClement shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boyce 47.0% vs McClement 51.5% (-5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Boyce 75.9%
Defensive zone
McClement 59.0%
Neutral zone
Boyce 57.3%
Result
Darryl Boyce favored at 55.0%
55.0%
45.0%
Boyce
McClement
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Boyce
McClement
Last 6: Boyce 2-4 McClement
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McClement
0
1
Boyce
McClement
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Boyce
McClement
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McClement
1
2
Boyce
McClement
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boyce
McClement
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (424)
52.4% (802)
-5.7%
Power Play
47.1% (17)
73.9% (23)
-26.8%
Penalty Kill
22.2% (9)
47.1% (314)
-24.9%
On power play, McClement has a +26.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McClement shoots left. Boyce is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (290).
Boyce shoots left. McClement is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (758).
Home / Away
Boyce
McClement
Home
51.5% (239)
57.6% (519)
Away
40.8% (218)
46.8% (633)
By Period
Boyce
McClement
P1
47.7%
55.3%
P2
46.5%
51.7%
P3
44.8%
49.0%
OT
50.0%
31.6%
Final 5 min
52.0%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boyce
50.0%▲
48.0%
46.4%
McClement
48.0%▲
46.5%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2011 | 1 | 10:32 | Neutral | Jay McClement |
| Mar 24, 2011 | 1 | 07:27 | Neutral | Jay McClement |
| Mar 24, 2011 | 1 | 07:18 | Defensive | Darryl Boyce |
| Jan 6, 2011 | OT | 03:00 | Neutral | Darryl Boyce |
| Jan 6, 2011 | 2 | 17:21 | Offensive | Jay McClement |
| Jan 6, 2011 | 2 | 07:02 | Defensive | Jay McClement |