Scouting Report
Joe Thornton holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall. Boyce wins 46.9% vs left-shot opponents — Thornton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boyce 47.0% vs Thornton 54.1% (-8.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Boyce 64.8%
Defensive zone
Boyce 70.5%
Neutral zone
Boyce 67.6%
Result
Darryl Boyce favored at 68.3%
68.3%
31.7%
Boyce
Thornton
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Boyce
Thornton
Last 8: Boyce 2-6 Thornton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
0
2
Boyce
Thornton
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Boyce
Thornton
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thornton
0
2
Boyce
Thornton
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boyce
Thornton
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (424)
52.8% (922)
-6.1%
Power Play
47.1% (17)
56.1% (196)
-9.0%
Penalty Kill
22.2% (9)
62.0% (100)
-39.8%
On penalty kill, Thornton has a +39.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thornton shoots left. Boyce is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (290).
Boyce shoots left. Thornton is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (913).
Home / Away
Boyce
Thornton
Home
51.5% (239)
54.9% (597)
Away
40.8% (218)
54.0% (643)
By Period
Boyce
Thornton
P1
47.7%
53.0%
P2
46.5%
51.2%
P3
44.8%
57.8%
OT
50.0%
72.7%
Final 5 min
52.0%
59.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boyce
50.0%▲
48.0%
46.4%
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2011 | 3 | 16:13 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Jan 11, 2011 | 3 | 14:05 | Defensive | Darryl Boyce |
| Jan 11, 2011 | 2 | 15:08 | Defensive | Darryl Boyce |
| Jan 11, 2011 | 2 | 03:20 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Jan 11, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Jan 11, 2011 | 1 | 19:15 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Jan 11, 2011 | 1 | 10:12 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Jan 11, 2011 | 1 | 00:48 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |