Scouting Report
Mike Richards holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Boyce on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boyce 48.1% vs Richards 50.5% (-2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Richards 55.7%
Defensive zone
Boyce 52.9%
Neutral zone
Richards 50.7%
Result
Darryl Boyce favored at 51.1%
51.1%
48.9%
Boyce
Richards
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Boyce
Richards
Last 8: Boyce 4-4 Richards
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Boyce
3
1
Boyce
Richards
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Richards
1
3
Boyce
Richards
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boyce
Richards
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (561)
50.0% (3,722)
-2.2%
Power Play
45.5% (22)
54.6% (445)
-9.1%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (29)
51.4% (502)
-6.6%
On power play, Richards has a +9.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Richards shoots left. Boyce is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (409).
Boyce shoots left. Richards is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (3,122).
Home / Away
Boyce
Richards
Home
52.2% (322)
50.8% (2,363)
Away
43.0% (298)
50.3% (2,336)
By Period
Boyce
Richards
P1
49.8%
49.6%
P2
48.6%
52.3%
P3
44.6%
49.3%
OT
50.0%
58.0%
Final 5 min
49.6%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boyce
50.0%▲
48.0%
47.7%
Richards
58.0%▲
48.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2012 | 1 | 03:57 | Defensive | Mike Richards |
| Mar 10, 2011 | 3 | 04:25 | Defensive | Darryl Boyce |
| Mar 10, 2011 | 2 | 14:40 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Mar 10, 2011 | 1 | 03:16 | Neutral | Darryl Boyce |
| Mar 10, 2011 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Mar 3, 2011 | 2 | 16:06 | Defensive | Darryl Boyce |
| Mar 3, 2011 | 2 | 15:55 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Mar 3, 2011 | 2 | 01:41 | Defensive | Darryl Boyce |