Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +10.2% FO% edge overall. Boyce wins 45.5% vs right-shot opponents — Bergeron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boyce 47.0% vs Bergeron 56.2% (-10.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bergeron 73.1%
Defensive zone
Bergeron 84.9%
Neutral zone
Bergeron 80.1%
Result
Patrice Bergeron favored at 77.8%
22.2%
77.8%
Boyce
Bergeron
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Boyce
Bergeron
Last 6: Boyce 4-2 Bergeron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Boyce
2
0
Boyce
Bergeron
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Boyce
Bergeron
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boyce
Bergeron
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (424)
57.3% (1,041)
-10.6%
Power Play
47.1% (17)
60.4% (149)
-13.3%
Penalty Kill
22.2% (9)
51.3% (234)
-29.1%
On penalty kill, Bergeron has a +29.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bergeron shoots right. Boyce is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (167).
Boyce shoots left. Bergeron is 57.9% vs left-shot opponents (979).
Home / Away
Boyce
Bergeron
Home
51.5% (239)
59.8% (682)
Away
40.8% (218)
53.8% (757)
By Period
Boyce
Bergeron
P1
47.7%
58.2%
P2
46.5%
58.1%
P3
44.8%
54.5%
OT
50.0%
42.1%
Final 5 min
52.0%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boyce
50.0%▲
48.0%
46.4%
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
56.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2011 | 2 | 02:09 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 19, 2011 | 2 | 07:02 | Neutral | Darryl Boyce |
| Jan 3, 2011 | 3 | 04:29 | Offensive | Darryl Boyce |
| Jan 3, 2011 | 3 | 04:16 | Offensive | Darryl Boyce |
| Jan 3, 2011 | 2 | 15:30 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 3, 2011 | 1 | 17:42 | Neutral | Darryl Boyce |