Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.7% vs 48.5%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boyce 48.1% vs Lorentz 48.6% (-0.8%)
Offensive zone
Lorentz 53.8%
Defensive zone
Boyce 52.5%
Neutral zone
Lorentz 52.2%
Result
Steven Lorentz favored at 51.2%
48.8%
51.2%
Boyce
Lorentz
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boyce
Lorentz
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (561)
48.9% (1,118)
-1.1%
Power Play
45.5% (22)
50.0% (26)
-4.5%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (29)
41.9% (86)
+2.9%
On power play, Lorentz has a +4.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lorentz shoots left. Boyce is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (409).
Boyce shoots left. Lorentz is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (780).
Home / Away
Boyce
Lorentz
Home
52.2% (322)
50.8% (606)
Away
43.0% (298)
46.2% (624)
By Period
Boyce
Lorentz
P1
49.8%
53.0%
P2
48.6%
46.8%
P3
44.6%
46.1%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
49.6%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boyce
50.0%▲
48.0%
47.7%
Lorentz
50.0%▲
47.0%
48.5%