Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Boyce wins 45.5% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boyce 48.1% vs Stamkos 51.0% (-3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Boyce 61.1%
Defensive zone
Boyce 78.7%
Neutral zone
Boyce 69.6%
Result
Darryl Boyce favored at 69.9%
69.9%
30.1%
Boyce
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Boyce
Stamkos
Last 5: Boyce 1-4 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Boyce
Stamkos
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
2
Boyce
Stamkos
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
1
Boyce
Stamkos
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boyce
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (561)
50.4% (9,799)
-2.6%
Power Play
45.5% (22)
55.1% (1,725)
-9.6%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (29)
49.7% (825)
-4.9%
On power play, Stamkos has a +9.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Boyce is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (211).
Boyce shoots left. Stamkos is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (8,778).
Home / Away
Boyce
Stamkos
Home
52.2% (322)
52.7% (6,248)
Away
43.0% (298)
49.3% (6,127)
By Period
Boyce
Stamkos
P1
49.8%
49.1%
P2
48.6%
52.7%
P3
44.6%
50.9%
OT
50.0%
54.3%
Final 5 min
49.6%
52.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boyce
50.0%▲
48.0%
47.7%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2011 | 3 | 09:27 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 25, 2011 | 2 | 14:15 | Offensive | Darryl Boyce |
| Jan 25, 2011 | 2 | 01:38 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 25, 2011 | 1 | 01:02 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 25, 2011 | 1 | 00:50 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |