Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Boyce wins 45.5% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boyce 48.1% vs Seguin 53.6% (-5.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Seguin 50.6%
Defensive zone
Boyce 53.4%
Neutral zone
Seguin 50.4%
Result
Darryl Boyce favored at 52.7%
52.7%
47.3%
Boyce
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Boyce
Seguin
Last 5: Boyce 2-3 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Boyce
Seguin
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
1
Boyce
Seguin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boyce
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (561)
53.7% (8,071)
-5.9%
Power Play
45.5% (22)
55.9% (810)
-10.4%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (29)
49.3% (762)
-4.5%
On power play, Seguin has a +10.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Boyce is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (211).
Boyce shoots left. Seguin is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (6,798).
Home / Away
Boyce
Seguin
Home
52.2% (322)
55.9% (4,759)
Away
43.0% (298)
51.4% (4,885)
By Period
Boyce
Seguin
P1
49.8%
52.8%
P2
48.6%
53.3%
P3
44.6%
54.7%
OT
50.0%
54.7%
Final 5 min
49.6%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boyce
50.0%▲
48.0%
47.7%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2011 | 3 | 13:27 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 15, 2011 | 3 | 01:38 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 15, 2011 | 1 | 01:44 | Defensive | Darryl Boyce |
| Feb 15, 2011 | 1 | 01:30 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 3, 2011 | 1 | 09:23 | Defensive | Darryl Boyce |