Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Boyce wins 45.5% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boyce 47.0% vs Seguin 49.6% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Seguin 61.6%
Defensive zone
Boyce 63.0%
Neutral zone
Boyce 50.4%
Result
Darryl Boyce favored at 60.5%
60.5%
39.5%
Boyce
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Boyce
Seguin
Last 5: Boyce 2-3 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Boyce
Seguin
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
1
Boyce
Seguin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boyce
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (424)
48.9% (274)
-2.2%
Power Play
47.1% (17)
53.8% (26)
-6.7%
Penalty Kill
22.2% (9)
50.0% (2)
-27.8%
On penalty kill, Seguin has a +27.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Boyce is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (167).
Boyce shoots left. Seguin is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (231).
Home / Away
Boyce
Seguin
Home
51.5% (239)
53.5% (129)
Away
40.8% (218)
46.6% (174)
By Period
Boyce
Seguin
P1
47.7%
52.3%
P2
46.5%
48.1%
P3
44.8%
47.8%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
52.0%
47.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boyce
50.0%▲
48.0%
46.4%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2011 | 3 | 13:27 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 15, 2011 | 3 | 01:38 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 15, 2011 | 1 | 01:44 | Defensive | Darryl Boyce |
| Feb 15, 2011 | 1 | 01:30 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 3, 2011 | 1 | 09:23 | Defensive | Darryl Boyce |