Scouting Report
Zack Smith holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Smith on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Boyce wins 46.9% vs left-shot opponents — Smith shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boyce 47.0% vs Smith 53.1% (-7.5%)
H2H factor
Smith leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Boyce 53.3%
Defensive zone
Boyce 53.6%
Neutral zone
Boyce 53.2%
Result
Darryl Boyce favored at 53.5%
53.5%
46.5%
Boyce
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Boyce
Smith
Last 10: Boyce 4-6 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Boyce
3
1
Boyce
Smith
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
1
4
Boyce
Smith
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Smith
0
1
Boyce
Smith
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boyce
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (424)
58.1% (322)
-11.4%
Power Play
47.1% (17)
36.8% (19)
+10.3%
Penalty Kill
22.2% (9)
32.6% (46)
-10.4%
On even strength, Smith has a +11.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Boyce is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (290).
Boyce shoots left. Smith is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (234).
Home / Away
Boyce
Smith
Home
51.5% (239)
58.8% (204)
Away
40.8% (218)
48.4% (184)
By Period
Boyce
Smith
P1
47.7%
52.9%
P2
46.5%
56.3%
P3
44.8%
51.9%
OT
50.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
52.0%
45.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boyce
50.0%▲
48.0%
46.4%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2011 | 1 | 09:54 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Feb 19, 2011 | 3 | 15:31 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Feb 19, 2011 | 3 | 11:54 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Feb 19, 2011 | 3 | 02:47 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Feb 19, 2011 | 2 | 18:29 | Offensive | Darryl Boyce |
| Feb 19, 2011 | 2 | 12:19 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Feb 19, 2011 | 1 | 04:07 | Offensive | Darryl Boyce |
| Jan 1, 2011 | 3 | 19:26 | Defensive | Darryl Boyce |
| Jan 1, 2011 | 3 | 11:40 | Offensive | Darryl Boyce |
| Jan 1, 2011 | 2 | 05:46 | Neutral | Zack Smith |