Scouting Report
Dave Bolland holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Bolland on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Tanguay wins 53.1% vs right-shot opponents — Bolland shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tanguay 44.4% vs Bolland 45.6% (-5.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tanguay 64.7%
Defensive zone
Bolland 68.1%
Neutral zone
Bolland 54.9%
Result
Alex Tanguay favored at 50.7%
50.7%
49.3%
Tanguay
Bolland
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Tanguay
Bolland
Last 7: Tanguay 3-4 Bolland
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tanguay
2
0
Tanguay
Bolland
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bolland
1
4
Tanguay
Bolland
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tanguay
Bolland
Edge
Even Strength
39.1% (64)
46.0% (781)
-6.9%
Power Play
50.0% (12)
47.6% (84)
+2.4%
Penalty Kill
35.7% (28)
39.0% (141)
-3.3%
On even strength, Bolland has a +6.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bolland shoots right. Tanguay is 53.1% vs right-shot opponents (32).
Tanguay shoots left. Bolland is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (772).
Home / Away
Tanguay
Bolland
Home
36.2% (47)
45.9% (540)
Away
41.7% (60)
44.2% (468)
By Period
Tanguay
Bolland
P1
41.4%
45.0%
P2
29.6%
44.7%
P3
48.5%
46.5%
OT
33.3%
23.1%
Final 5 min
34.5%
43.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tanguay
44.0%▲
40.0%
39.3%
Bolland
42.0%▼
44.5%
45.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2011 | 3 | 16:04 | Neutral | Dave Bolland |
| Mar 2, 2011 | 3 | 15:56 | Neutral | Alex Tanguay |
| Dec 5, 2010 | 3 | 08:55 | Offensive | Alex Tanguay |
| Dec 5, 2010 | 3 | 08:51 | Offensive | Alex Tanguay |
| Dec 5, 2010 | 1 | 19:44 | Neutral | Dave Bolland |
| Dec 5, 2010 | 1 | 04:14 | Neutral | Dave Bolland |
| Nov 19, 2010 | 3 | 01:41 | Neutral | Dave Bolland |