Scouting Report
Dave Bolland holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Bolland on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Bolland wins 47.0% vs left-shot opponents — Malkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bolland 45.0% vs Malkin 43.5% (+1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bolland 53.4%
Defensive zone
Bolland 77.9%
Neutral zone
Bolland 66.3%
Result
Dave Bolland favored at 65.9%
65.9%
34.1%
Bolland
Malkin
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Bolland
Malkin
Last 9: Bolland 7-2 Malkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bolland
2
1
Bolland
Malkin
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bolland
3
0
Bolland
Malkin
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bolland
2
1
Bolland
Malkin
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bolland
Malkin
Edge
Even Strength
44.6% (716)
43.1% (733)
+1.5%
Power Play
58.1% (74)
31.3% (16)
+26.8%
Penalty Kill
36.9% (141)
16.7% (6)
+20.2%
On power play, Bolland has a +26.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Malkin shoots left. Bolland is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (634).
Bolland shoots right. Malkin is 35.0% vs right-shot opponents (266).
Home / Away
Bolland
Malkin
Home
45.5% (446)
42.6% (338)
Away
43.5% (485)
42.7% (417)
By Period
Bolland
Malkin
P1
44.6%
40.9%
P2
45.6%
45.3%
P3
44.2%
42.0%
OT
27.8%
40.0%
Final 5 min
43.3%
46.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bolland
42.0%▼
44.5%
44.5%
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
42.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 22, 2014 | 2 | 19:23 | Neutral | Dave Bolland |
| Dec 22, 2014 | 2 | 16:47 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 22, 2014 | 1 | 12:23 | Defensive | Dave Bolland |
| Dec 22, 2014 | 1 | 09:03 | Defensive | Dave Bolland |
| Dec 20, 2014 | 3 | 11:33 | Neutral | Dave Bolland |
| Dec 20, 2014 | 3 | 11:26 | Defensive | Dave Bolland |
| Dec 20, 2014 | 3 | 04:59 | Offensive | Dave Bolland |
| Dec 20, 2014 | 3 | 04:55 | Offensive | Dave Bolland |
| Dec 20, 2014 | 3 | 02:13 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |