Scouting Report
Jason Arnott holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Bolland on defensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Bolland wins 42.0% vs right-shot opponents — Arnott shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bolland 46.1% vs Arnott 50.3% (-4.2%)
H2H factor
Arnott leads 10-10 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Arnott 78.2%
Defensive zone
Bolland 75.0%
Neutral zone
Bolland 51.0%
Result
Dave Bolland favored at 53.5%
53.5%
46.5%
Bolland
Arnott
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
10
(20 meetings)
10
10
Bolland
Arnott
Last 10: Bolland 6-4 Arnott
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Arnott
1
3
Bolland
Arnott
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bolland
5
2
Bolland
Arnott
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Arnott
4
5
Bolland
Arnott
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bolland
Arnott
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (3,388)
49.7% (1,444)
-3.1%
Power Play
50.1% (355)
53.8% (182)
-3.7%
Penalty Kill
40.7% (585)
40.0% (15)
+0.7%
On power play, Arnott has a +3.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Arnott shoots right. Bolland is 42.0% vs right-shot opponents (1,249).
Bolland shoots right. Arnott is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (488).
Home / Away
Bolland
Arnott
Home
48.2% (2,258)
52.1% (891)
Away
43.8% (2,080)
48.2% (772)
By Period
Bolland
Arnott
P1
45.8%
46.1%
P2
45.8%
53.6%
P3
47.0%
50.1%
OT
35.9%
71.4%
Final 5 min
45.8%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bolland
42.0%▼
44.5%
46.1%
Arnott
50.0%▬
50.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2012 | 1 | 05:07 | Defensive | Dave Bolland |
| Mar 6, 2012 | 3 | 13:32 | Neutral | Jason Arnott |
| Mar 6, 2012 | 3 | 13:28 | Neutral | Jason Arnott |
| Mar 6, 2012 | 2 | 19:38 | Defensive | Dave Bolland |
| Mar 6, 2012 | 2 | 09:12 | Neutral | Jason Arnott |
| Mar 6, 2012 | 2 | 09:11 | Neutral | Dave Bolland |
| Mar 6, 2012 | 1 | 16:13 | Defensive | Dave Bolland |
| Mar 6, 2012 | 1 | 16:05 | Defensive | Dave Bolland |
| Mar 6, 2012 | 1 | 08:59 | Offensive | Jason Arnott |
| Mar 6, 2012 | 1 | 06:21 | Defensive | Dave Bolland |
| Mar 6, 2012 | 1 | 04:22 | Offensive | Jason Arnott |
| Feb 19, 2012 | 3 | 01:20 | Offensive | Dave Bolland |
| Dec 3, 2011 | 2 | 17:07 | Neutral | Jason Arnott |
| Dec 3, 2011 | 2 | 15:06 | Neutral | Jason Arnott |
| Dec 3, 2011 | 1 | 11:48 | Defensive | Jason Arnott |
| Nov 8, 2011 | 3 | 19:26 | Neutral | Dave Bolland |
| Nov 8, 2011 | 1 | 13:29 | Defensive | Jason Arnott |
| Nov 8, 2011 | 1 | 10:35 | Offensive | Jason Arnott |
| Nov 8, 2011 | 1 | 07:26 | Neutral | Dave Bolland |
| Nov 8, 2011 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dave Bolland |