Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +8.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Spezza on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 8 meetings). Bolland wins 42.0% vs right-shot opponents — Spezza shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bolland 46.1% vs Spezza 54.7% (-8.6%)
H2H factor
Spezza leads 14-4 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Bolland 81.0%
Defensive zone
Bolland 93.0%
Neutral zone
Bolland 87.1%
Result
Dave Bolland favored at 86.4%
86.4%
13.6%
Bolland
Spezza
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
14
(18 meetings)
4
14
Bolland
Spezza
Last 10: Bolland 3-7 Spezza
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
0
8
Bolland
Spezza
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bolland
4
2
Bolland
Spezza
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spezza
0
4
Bolland
Spezza
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bolland
Spezza
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (3,388)
54.4% (7,990)
-7.8%
Power Play
50.1% (355)
56.8% (1,726)
-6.7%
Penalty Kill
40.7% (585)
52.7% (643)
-12.0%
On penalty kill, Spezza has a +12.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spezza shoots right. Bolland is 42.0% vs right-shot opponents (1,249).
Bolland shoots right. Spezza is 54.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,088).
Home / Away
Bolland
Spezza
Home
48.2% (2,258)
56.8% (5,066)
Away
43.8% (2,080)
52.7% (5,332)
By Period
Bolland
Spezza
P1
45.8%
55.7%
P2
45.8%
54.4%
P3
47.0%
54.1%
OT
35.9%
51.5%
Final 5 min
45.8%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bolland
42.0%▼
44.5%
46.1%
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2015 | 1 | 14:49 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 24, 2015 | 1 | 14:46 | Defensive | Dave Bolland |
| Oct 24, 2015 | 1 | 11:24 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 24, 2015 | 1 | 11:03 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 24, 2015 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 17, 2015 | 2 | 00:59 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 13, 2015 | 1 | 07:18 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 5, 2013 | OT | 01:27 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 2, 2012 | 3 | 19:29 | Defensive | Dave Bolland |
| Mar 2, 2012 | 3 | 14:41 | Defensive | Dave Bolland |
| Mar 2, 2012 | 3 | 14:02 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 2, 2012 | 3 | 13:48 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 2, 2012 | 3 | 13:35 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 2, 2012 | 3 | 10:22 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 2, 2012 | 2 | 19:09 | Defensive | Dave Bolland |
| Mar 2, 2012 | 1 | 15:06 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 2, 2012 | 1 | 12:19 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 2, 2012 | 1 | 07:31 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |