Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Bolland wins 42.0% vs right-shot opponents — Carter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bolland 46.1% vs Carter 53.2% (-7.1%)
H2H factor
Carter leads 12-5 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Bolland 90.1%
Defensive zone
Bolland 86.9%
Neutral zone
Bolland 88.0%
Result
Dave Bolland favored at 88.3%
88.3%
11.7%
Bolland
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
12
(17 meetings)
5
12
Bolland
Carter
Last 10: Bolland 4-6 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
2
3
Bolland
Carter
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
1
4
Bolland
Carter
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
2
5
Bolland
Carter
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bolland
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (3,388)
53.3% (8,728)
-6.7%
Power Play
50.1% (355)
57.3% (1,554)
-7.2%
Penalty Kill
40.7% (585)
46.3% (1,087)
-5.6%
On power play, Carter has a +7.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Bolland is 42.0% vs right-shot opponents (1,249).
Bolland shoots right. Carter is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (3,429).
Home / Away
Bolland
Carter
Home
48.2% (2,258)
54.7% (5,752)
Away
43.8% (2,080)
51.6% (5,632)
By Period
Bolland
Carter
P1
45.8%
53.6%
P2
45.8%
52.8%
P3
47.0%
53.1%
OT
35.9%
56.5%
Final 5 min
45.8%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bolland
42.0%▼
44.5%
46.1%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2015 | 3 | 01:53 | Offensive | Dave Bolland |
| Feb 5, 2015 | 2 | 13:28 | Neutral | Dave Bolland |
| Feb 5, 2015 | 2 | 05:05 | Offensive | Dave Bolland |
| Feb 5, 2015 | 1 | 19:01 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 25, 2013 | 2 | 16:13 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 17, 2013 | 3 | 00:19 | Neutral | Dave Bolland |
| Feb 17, 2013 | 1 | 11:47 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 17, 2013 | 1 | 07:34 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 19, 2013 | 3 | 14:44 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 19, 2013 | 2 | 07:32 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 19, 2013 | 2 | 01:16 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 19, 2013 | 1 | 12:57 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 19, 2013 | 1 | 10:15 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 25, 2012 | 3 | 13:53 | Defensive | Dave Bolland |
| Feb 18, 2012 | 1 | 16:28 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 26, 2011 | 2 | 02:05 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 26, 2011 | 1 | 17:12 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |