Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Bolland wins 37.8% vs right-shot opponents — Carter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bolland 46.8% vs Carter 52.1% (-6.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bolland 83.6%
Defensive zone
Bolland 83.0%
Neutral zone
Bolland 83.1%
Result
Dave Bolland favored at 83.2%
83.2%
16.8%
Bolland
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
8
(9 meetings)
1
8
Bolland
Carter
Last 9: Bolland 1-8 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
0
1
Bolland
Carter
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
0
2
Bolland
Carter
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
1
5
Bolland
Carter
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bolland
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (411)
52.9% (289)
-6.4%
Power Play
41.9% (74)
56.5% (69)
-14.6%
Penalty Kill
51.5% (33)
38.5% (26)
+13.0%
On power play, Carter has a +14.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Bolland is 37.8% vs right-shot opponents (148).
Bolland shoots right. Carter is 54.9% vs right-shot opponents (82).
Home / Away
Bolland
Carter
Home
51.4% (280)
56.4% (181)
Away
39.9% (238)
49.3% (203)
By Period
Bolland
Carter
P1
48.0%
56.6%
P2
41.5%
54.0%
P3
48.3%
47.2%
OT
57.1%
50.0%
Final 5 min
43.8%
56.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bolland
42.0%▼
44.5%
46.1%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2013 | 2 | 16:13 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 17, 2013 | 3 | 00:19 | Neutral | Dave Bolland |
| Feb 17, 2013 | 1 | 11:47 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 17, 2013 | 1 | 07:34 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 19, 2013 | 3 | 14:44 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 19, 2013 | 2 | 07:32 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 19, 2013 | 2 | 01:16 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 19, 2013 | 1 | 12:57 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 19, 2013 | 1 | 10:15 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |