Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +8.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Pavelski on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Bolland wins 42.0% vs right-shot opponents — Pavelski shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bolland 46.1% vs Pavelski 54.1% (-8.1%)
H2H factor
Pavelski leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Bolland 73.8%
Defensive zone
Bolland 87.1%
Neutral zone
Bolland 82.7%
Result
Dave Bolland favored at 80.3%
80.3%
19.7%
Bolland
Pavelski
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
9
(13 meetings)
4
9
Bolland
Pavelski
Last 10: Bolland 3-7 Pavelski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
2
4
Bolland
Pavelski
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
2
3
Bolland
Pavelski
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pavelski
0
2
Bolland
Pavelski
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bolland
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (3,388)
53.6% (8,791)
-7.0%
Power Play
50.1% (355)
58.2% (2,122)
-8.1%
Penalty Kill
40.7% (585)
50.9% (1,138)
-10.2%
On penalty kill, Pavelski has a +10.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. Bolland is 42.0% vs right-shot opponents (1,249).
Bolland shoots right. Pavelski is 55.9% vs right-shot opponents (2,971).
Home / Away
Bolland
Pavelski
Home
48.2% (2,258)
56.4% (5,998)
Away
43.8% (2,080)
52.0% (6,076)
By Period
Bolland
Pavelski
P1
45.8%
53.5%
P2
45.8%
55.2%
P3
47.0%
53.9%
OT
35.9%
52.3%
Final 5 min
45.8%
54.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bolland
42.0%▼
44.5%
46.1%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2013 | 2 | 04:53 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 22, 2013 | 2 | 02:19 | Offensive | Dave Bolland |
| Feb 22, 2013 | 2 | 01:53 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 22, 2013 | 1 | 19:23 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 22, 2013 | 1 | 00:37 | Defensive | Dave Bolland |
| Feb 15, 2013 | 3 | 14:33 | Offensive | Dave Bolland |
| Feb 15, 2013 | 3 | 04:17 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 10, 2012 | 1 | 05:35 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Dec 11, 2011 | 3 | 08:43 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Dec 11, 2011 | 2 | 05:55 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Dec 11, 2011 | 2 | 00:55 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Dec 11, 2011 | 1 | 10:23 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Nov 24, 2010 | 2 | 15:17 | Defensive | Dave Bolland |