Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +10.3% FO% edge overall. Bolland wins 46.5% vs right-shot opponents — Pavelski shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bolland 48.5% vs Pavelski 57.8% (-10.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bolland 84.3%
Defensive zone
Bolland 90.4%
Neutral zone
Bolland 86.0%
Result
Dave Bolland favored at 87.1%
87.1%
12.9%
Bolland
Pavelski
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Bolland
Pavelski
Last 5: Bolland 0-5 Pavelski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
0
2
Bolland
Pavelski
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
0
2
Bolland
Pavelski
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pavelski
0
1
Bolland
Pavelski
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bolland
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (913)
57.8% (569)
-8.3%
Power Play
48.3% (87)
60.2% (161)
-11.9%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (195)
59.5% (121)
-15.4%
On penalty kill, Pavelski has a +15.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. Bolland is 46.5% vs right-shot opponents (342).
Bolland shoots right. Pavelski is 66.1% vs right-shot opponents (183).
Home / Away
Bolland
Pavelski
Home
50.8% (622)
61.0% (403)
Away
45.8% (581)
56.6% (461)
By Period
Bolland
Pavelski
P1
47.1%
62.9%
P2
47.8%
56.6%
P3
50.9%
57.1%
OT
39.1%
57.9%
Final 5 min
49.8%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bolland
42.0%▼
44.5%
48.4%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
58.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2012 | 1 | 05:35 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Dec 11, 2011 | 3 | 08:43 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Dec 11, 2011 | 2 | 05:55 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Dec 11, 2011 | 2 | 00:55 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Dec 11, 2011 | 1 | 10:23 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |