Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Bolland wins 47.0% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bolland 45.0% vs Tavares 52.1% (-7.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bolland 64.4%
Defensive zone
Bolland 93.9%
Neutral zone
Bolland 78.1%
Result
Dave Bolland favored at 67.2%
67.2%
32.8%
Bolland
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Bolland
Tavares
Last 5: Bolland 0-5 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
4
Bolland
Tavares
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
1
Bolland
Tavares
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bolland
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
44.6% (716)
52.4% (1,121)
-7.8%
Power Play
58.1% (74)
51.3% (304)
+6.8%
Penalty Kill
36.9% (141)
58.8% (17)
-21.9%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +21.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Bolland is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (634).
Bolland shoots right. Tavares is 50.3% vs right-shot opponents (531).
Home / Away
Bolland
Tavares
Home
45.5% (446)
56.5% (731)
Away
43.5% (485)
47.8% (711)
By Period
Bolland
Tavares
P1
44.6%
56.1%
P2
45.6%
50.3%
P3
44.2%
50.5%
OT
27.8%
50.0%
Final 5 min
43.3%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bolland
42.0%▼
44.5%
44.5%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 3, 2015 | 3 | 18:25 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 3, 2015 | 3 | 07:50 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 3, 2015 | 2 | 11:25 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 3, 2015 | 2 | 10:15 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Feb 3, 2015 | 1 | 18:01 | Offensive | John Tavares |