Scouting Report
Keith Aucoin holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Bolland on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bolland 46.1% vs Aucoin 48.7% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aucoin 77.1%
Defensive zone
Aucoin 54.1%
Neutral zone
Aucoin 63.4%
Result
Keith Aucoin favored at 70.2%
29.8%
70.2%
Bolland
Aucoin
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Bolland
Aucoin
Last 6: Bolland 5-1 Aucoin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bolland
2
1
Bolland
Aucoin
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bolland
3
0
Bolland
Aucoin
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bolland
Aucoin
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (3,388)
47.8% (448)
-1.2%
Power Play
50.1% (355)
54.8% (31)
-4.7%
Penalty Kill
40.7% (585)
75.0% (4)
-34.3%
On penalty kill, Aucoin has a +34.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aucoin shoots left. Bolland is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (3,089).
Bolland shoots right. Aucoin is 42.6% vs right-shot opponents (176).
Home / Away
Bolland
Aucoin
Home
48.2% (2,258)
52.6% (215)
Away
43.8% (2,080)
45.1% (268)
By Period
Bolland
Aucoin
P1
45.8%
45.8%
P2
45.8%
49.2%
P3
47.0%
51.9%
OT
35.9%
0.0%
Final 5 min
45.8%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bolland
42.0%▼
44.5%
46.1%
Aucoin
50.0%▲
44.5%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2012 | 3 | 12:20 | Offensive | Keith Aucoin |
| Mar 18, 2012 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dave Bolland |
| Mar 18, 2012 | 2 | 19:48 | Neutral | Dave Bolland |
| Mar 18, 2012 | 2 | 19:47 | Neutral | Dave Bolland |
| Mar 18, 2012 | 2 | 17:04 | Offensive | Dave Bolland |
| Mar 18, 2012 | 2 | 13:18 | Offensive | Dave Bolland |