Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.4% vs 47.6%). Look for Erat on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bolland 48.5% vs Erat 48.7% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Erat 80.4%
Defensive zone
Bolland 88.7%
Neutral zone
Bolland 53.7%
Result
Dave Bolland favored at 54.2%
54.2%
45.8%
Bolland
Erat
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Bolland
Erat
Last 6: Bolland 3-3 Erat
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Erat
0
3
Bolland
Erat
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bolland
3
0
Bolland
Erat
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bolland
Erat
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (913)
46.3% (80)
+3.2%
Power Play
48.3% (87)
51.2% (41)
-2.9%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (195)
40.0% (5)
+4.1%
On penalty kill, Bolland has a +4.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Erat shoots left. Bolland is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (861).
Bolland shoots right. Erat is 46.2% vs right-shot opponents (52).
Home / Away
Bolland
Erat
Home
50.8% (622)
60.9% (64)
Away
45.8% (581)
33.9% (62)
By Period
Bolland
Erat
P1
47.1%
41.9%
P2
47.8%
47.2%
P3
50.9%
54.3%
OT
39.1%
0.0%
Final 5 min
49.8%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bolland
42.0%▼
44.5%
48.4%
Erat
38.0%▼
43.5%
47.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2012 | 3 | 02:50 | Offensive | Martin Erat |
| Mar 31, 2012 | 2 | 07:01 | Offensive | Martin Erat |
| Feb 14, 2012 | 2 | 02:13 | Offensive | Martin Erat |
| Jan 24, 2012 | 3 | 06:21 | Defensive | Dave Bolland |
| Jan 24, 2012 | 3 | 04:21 | Defensive | Dave Bolland |
| Jan 21, 2012 | 1 | 11:54 | Defensive | Dave Bolland |