Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Bolland wins 47.0% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bolland 45.0% vs Backlund 48.5% (-3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backlund 66.6%
Defensive zone
Backlund 78.4%
Neutral zone
Backlund 71.2%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 72.2%
27.8%
72.2%
Bolland
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Bolland
Backlund
Last 5: Bolland 4-1 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Bolland
Backlund
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bolland
2
0
Bolland
Backlund
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bolland
1
0
Bolland
Backlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bolland
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
44.6% (716)
50.1% (711)
-5.5%
Power Play
58.1% (74)
43.2% (81)
+14.9%
Penalty Kill
36.9% (141)
38.6% (83)
-1.7%
On power play, Bolland has a +14.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Bolland is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (634).
Bolland shoots right. Backlund is 45.8% vs right-shot opponents (360).
Home / Away
Bolland
Backlund
Home
45.5% (446)
51.0% (396)
Away
43.5% (485)
46.1% (479)
By Period
Bolland
Backlund
P1
44.6%
43.9%
P2
45.6%
51.5%
P3
44.2%
51.0%
OT
27.8%
12.5%
Final 5 min
43.3%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bolland
42.0%▼
44.5%
44.5%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
48.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2015 | 3 | 17:35 | Defensive | Dave Bolland |
| Jan 9, 2015 | 3 | 13:52 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 9, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dave Bolland |
| Jan 9, 2015 | 1 | 13:33 | Offensive | Dave Bolland |
| Jan 9, 2015 | 1 | 12:03 | Defensive | Dave Bolland |