Scouting Report
Dave Bolland holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Santorelli on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Bolland wins 46.5% vs right-shot opponents — Santorelli shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bolland 48.5% vs Santorelli 46.2% (+3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Santorelli 77.2%
Defensive zone
Bolland 73.1%
Neutral zone
Santorelli 54.9%
Result
Mike Santorelli favored at 60.4%
39.6%
60.4%
Bolland
Santorelli
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Bolland
Santorelli
Last 7: Bolland 3-4 Santorelli
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Santorelli
0
3
Bolland
Santorelli
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bolland
1
0
Bolland
Santorelli
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bolland
2
1
Bolland
Santorelli
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bolland
Santorelli
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (913)
45.1% (348)
+4.4%
Power Play
48.3% (87)
42.4% (33)
+5.9%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (195)
0.0% (3)
+44.1%
On penalty kill, Bolland has a +44.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Santorelli shoots right. Bolland is 46.5% vs right-shot opponents (342).
Bolland shoots right. Santorelli is 45.6% vs right-shot opponents (136).
Home / Away
Bolland
Santorelli
Home
50.8% (622)
49.5% (188)
Away
45.8% (581)
41.3% (201)
By Period
Bolland
Santorelli
P1
47.1%
48.8%
P2
47.8%
40.7%
P3
50.9%
47.0%
Final 5 min
49.8%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bolland
42.0%▼
44.5%
48.4%
Santorelli
40.0%▼
46.5%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2011 | 2 | 18:56 | Offensive | Mike Santorelli |
| Nov 3, 2011 | 2 | 09:48 | Offensive | Mike Santorelli |
| Nov 3, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dave Bolland |
| Nov 3, 2011 | 1 | 06:47 | Neutral | Dave Bolland |
| Nov 3, 2011 | 1 | 04:31 | Offensive | Mike Santorelli |
| Nov 3, 2011 | 1 | 00:17 | Defensive | Dave Bolland |
| Nov 3, 2011 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mike Santorelli |