Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +11.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Bolland on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 15 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bolland 46.1% vs Gaustad 57.6% (-11.6%)
H2H factor
Bolland leads 20-13 in 33 meetings
Offensive zone
Gaustad 67.8%
Defensive zone
Gaustad 97.3%
Neutral zone
Gaustad 91.6%
Result
Paul Gaustad favored at 82.5%
17.5%
82.5%
Bolland
Gaustad
Head-to-Head Record
20
-
13
(33 meetings)
20
13
Bolland
Gaustad
Last 10: Bolland 7-3 Gaustad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bolland
10
5
Bolland
Gaustad
15 total
Defensive Zone
Even
5
5
Bolland
Gaustad
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bolland
5
3
Bolland
Gaustad
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bolland
Gaustad
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (3,388)
58.2% (4,334)
-11.6%
Power Play
50.1% (355)
65.4% (188)
-15.3%
Penalty Kill
40.7% (585)
54.8% (1,290)
-14.1%
On power play, Gaustad has a +15.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaustad shoots left. Bolland is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (3,089).
Bolland shoots right. Gaustad is 57.2% vs right-shot opponents (2,052).
Home / Away
Bolland
Gaustad
Home
48.2% (2,258)
59.5% (2,929)
Away
43.8% (2,080)
55.9% (2,897)
By Period
Bolland
Gaustad
P1
45.8%
58.2%
P2
45.8%
56.4%
P3
47.0%
58.3%
OT
35.9%
66.0%
Final 5 min
45.8%
57.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bolland
42.0%▼
44.5%
46.1%
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
57.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2015 | 3 | 19:36 | Neutral | Dave Bolland |
| Oct 10, 2013 | 2 | 12:06 | Offensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 10, 2013 | 2 | 11:58 | Defensive | Dave Bolland |
| Oct 10, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dave Bolland |
| Oct 10, 2013 | 1 | 19:43 | Offensive | Dave Bolland |
| Oct 10, 2013 | 1 | 06:49 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 10, 2013 | 1 | 02:57 | Offensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 10, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dave Bolland |
| Apr 1, 2013 | 2 | 05:06 | Offensive | Dave Bolland |
| Apr 1, 2013 | 1 | 18:14 | Defensive | Dave Bolland |
| Apr 1, 2013 | 1 | 03:47 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Apr 1, 2013 | 1 | 03:40 | Offensive | Dave Bolland |
| Mar 31, 2012 | 3 | 19:26 | Offensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 31, 2012 | 3 | 03:48 | Offensive | Dave Bolland |
| Mar 31, 2012 | 2 | 16:46 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 31, 2012 | 1 | 01:24 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 25, 2012 | 3 | 08:25 | Offensive | Dave Bolland |
| Mar 25, 2012 | 3 | 02:00 | Neutral | Dave Bolland |
| Mar 25, 2012 | 2 | 18:59 | Offensive | Dave Bolland |
| Mar 25, 2012 | 1 | 13:28 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |