Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +12.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaustad on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Bolland wins 45.6% vs left-shot opponents — Gaustad shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bolland 46.2% vs Gaustad 57.4% (-12.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bolland 54.0%
Defensive zone
Gaustad 89.2%
Neutral zone
Gaustad 73.8%
Result
Paul Gaustad favored at 64.1%
35.9%
64.1%
Bolland
Gaustad
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Bolland
Gaustad
Last 7: Bolland 4-3 Gaustad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
1
2
Bolland
Gaustad
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bolland
1
0
Bolland
Gaustad
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bolland
2
1
Bolland
Gaustad
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bolland
Gaustad
Edge
Even Strength
45.2% (303)
59.3% (913)
-14.1%
Power Play
40.0% (15)
72.2% (18)
-32.2%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (19)
52.8% (269)
-5.4%
On power play, Gaustad has a +32.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaustad shoots left. Bolland is 45.6% vs left-shot opponents (237).
Bolland shoots right. Gaustad is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (420).
Home / Away
Bolland
Gaustad
Home
49.5% (200)
58.6% (604)
Away
38.7% (137)
57.4% (596)
By Period
Bolland
Gaustad
P1
49.6%
61.5%
P2
45.5%
55.7%
P3
39.3%
56.6%
OT
66.7%
75.0%
Final 5 min
43.0%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bolland
42.0%▼
44.5%
45.1%
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
58.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2013 | 2 | 12:06 | Offensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 10, 2013 | 2 | 11:58 | Defensive | Dave Bolland |
| Oct 10, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dave Bolland |
| Oct 10, 2013 | 1 | 19:43 | Offensive | Dave Bolland |
| Oct 10, 2013 | 1 | 06:49 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 10, 2013 | 1 | 02:57 | Offensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 10, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dave Bolland |