Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +9.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on neutral-zone draws (64% H2H, 28 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bolland 46.1% vs Stastny 55.1% (-9.0%)
H2H factor
Stastny leads 39-30 in 69 meetings
Offensive zone
Bolland 72.7%
Defensive zone
Bolland 79.0%
Neutral zone
Bolland 80.6%
Result
Dave Bolland favored at 77.6%
77.6%
22.4%
Bolland
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
30
-
39
(69 meetings)
30
39
Bolland
Stastny
Last 10: Bolland 5-5 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
9
14
Bolland
Stastny
23 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bolland
11
7
Bolland
Stastny
18 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
10
18
Bolland
Stastny
28 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bolland
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (3,388)
54.6% (10,616)
-8.0%
Power Play
50.1% (355)
59.1% (1,994)
-9.0%
Penalty Kill
40.7% (585)
52.9% (1,119)
-12.2%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +12.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Bolland is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (3,089).
Bolland shoots right. Stastny is 58.4% vs right-shot opponents (4,907).
Home / Away
Bolland
Stastny
Home
48.2% (2,258)
55.9% (7,073)
Away
43.8% (2,080)
54.3% (6,705)
By Period
Bolland
Stastny
P1
45.8%
56.3%
P2
45.8%
55.4%
P3
47.0%
53.5%
OT
35.9%
62.9%
Final 5 min
45.8%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bolland
42.0%▼
44.5%
46.1%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 1, 2015 | 2 | 05:33 | Defensive | Dave Bolland |
| Feb 15, 2015 | 3 | 09:04 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 15, 2015 | 3 | 08:47 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 8, 2014 | 3 | 06:59 | Defensive | Dave Bolland |
| Dec 8, 2014 | 3 | 02:38 | Offensive | Dave Bolland |
| Dec 8, 2014 | 1 | 11:39 | Neutral | Dave Bolland |
| Dec 8, 2014 | 1 | 09:32 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 8, 2013 | 3 | 17:09 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 8, 2013 | 1 | 12:42 | Defensive | Dave Bolland |
| Mar 18, 2013 | 2 | 16:20 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 18, 2013 | 1 | 19:26 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 8, 2013 | 1 | 12:06 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 6, 2013 | 3 | 19:10 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 6, 2013 | 3 | 06:08 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 6, 2013 | 2 | 06:57 | Defensive | Dave Bolland |
| Feb 7, 2012 | 3 | 03:04 | Offensive | Dave Bolland |
| Feb 7, 2012 | 3 | 00:38 | Neutral | Dave Bolland |
| Feb 7, 2012 | 2 | 06:14 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 7, 2012 | 2 | 03:24 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 7, 2012 | 2 | 00:31 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |