Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bolland 46.8% vs Stastny 52.1% (-6.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bolland 76.2%
Defensive zone
Bolland 74.7%
Neutral zone
Bolland 71.7%
Result
Dave Bolland favored at 74.4%
74.4%
25.6%
Bolland
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Bolland
Stastny
Last 6: Bolland 1-5 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
3
Bolland
Stastny
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bolland
1
0
Bolland
Stastny
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
2
Bolland
Stastny
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bolland
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (411)
51.0% (588)
-4.5%
Power Play
41.9% (74)
60.6% (104)
-18.7%
Penalty Kill
51.5% (33)
51.7% (89)
-0.2%
On power play, Stastny has a +18.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Bolland is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (370).
Bolland shoots right. Stastny is 60.7% vs right-shot opponents (239).
Home / Away
Bolland
Stastny
Home
51.4% (280)
54.0% (400)
Away
39.9% (238)
50.7% (381)
By Period
Bolland
Stastny
P1
48.0%
57.8%
P2
41.5%
52.5%
P3
48.3%
47.5%
OT
57.1%
41.7%
Final 5 min
43.8%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bolland
42.0%▼
44.5%
46.1%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2013 | 2 | 16:20 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 18, 2013 | 1 | 19:26 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 8, 2013 | 1 | 12:06 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 6, 2013 | 3 | 19:10 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 6, 2013 | 3 | 06:08 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 6, 2013 | 2 | 06:57 | Defensive | Dave Bolland |