Scouting Report
R.J. Umberger holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Bolland on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Bolland wins 46.5% vs left-shot opponents — Umberger shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bolland 45.6% vs Umberger 50.3% (-5.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Umberger 77.4%
Defensive zone
Bolland 80.6%
Neutral zone
Bolland 55.5%
Result
Dave Bolland favored at 57.1%
57.1%
42.9%
Bolland
Umberger
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Bolland
Umberger
Last 6: Bolland 3-3 Umberger
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Umberger
0
2
Bolland
Umberger
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bolland
2
1
Bolland
Umberger
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bolland
1
0
Bolland
Umberger
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bolland
Umberger
Edge
Even Strength
46.0% (781)
48.6% (107)
-2.6%
Power Play
47.6% (84)
50.5% (97)
-2.9%
Penalty Kill
39.0% (141)
64.3% (14)
-25.3%
On penalty kill, Umberger has a +25.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Umberger shoots left. Bolland is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (772).
Bolland shoots right. Umberger is 47.7% vs right-shot opponents (65).
Home / Away
Bolland
Umberger
Home
45.9% (540)
51.9% (104)
Away
44.2% (468)
49.1% (116)
By Period
Bolland
Umberger
P1
45.0%
55.0%
P2
44.7%
45.2%
P3
46.5%
50.0%
OT
23.1%
60.0%
Final 5 min
43.7%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bolland
42.0%▼
44.5%
45.1%
Umberger
50.0%▼
53.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2011 | 2 | 15:28 | Offensive | R.J. Umberger |
| Feb 18, 2011 | 2 | 00:48 | Defensive | Dave Bolland |
| Feb 1, 2011 | 3 | 09:30 | Neutral | Dave Bolland |
| Feb 1, 2011 | 3 | 09:09 | Offensive | R.J. Umberger |
| Feb 1, 2011 | 2 | 14:20 | Defensive | Dave Bolland |
| Oct 15, 2010 | 1 | 04:51 | Defensive | R.J. Umberger |