Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansen on offensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings). Bolland wins 42.0% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bolland 46.1% vs Johansen 53.3% (-7.3%)
H2H factor
Johansen leads 14-4 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Bolland 83.5%
Defensive zone
Bolland 92.1%
Neutral zone
Bolland 82.8%
Result
Dave Bolland favored at 83.6%
83.6%
16.4%
Bolland
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
14
(18 meetings)
4
14
Bolland
Johansen
Last 10: Bolland 2-8 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
1
7
Bolland
Johansen
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
1
Bolland
Johansen
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johansen
3
6
Bolland
Johansen
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bolland
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (3,388)
53.1% (11,017)
-6.5%
Power Play
50.1% (355)
56.2% (2,163)
-6.1%
Penalty Kill
40.7% (585)
50.5% (978)
-9.8%
On penalty kill, Johansen has a +9.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Bolland is 42.0% vs right-shot opponents (1,249).
Bolland shoots right. Johansen is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (4,371).
Home / Away
Bolland
Johansen
Home
48.2% (2,258)
55.0% (7,001)
Away
43.8% (2,080)
51.7% (7,158)
By Period
Bolland
Johansen
P1
45.8%
53.2%
P2
45.8%
53.9%
P3
47.0%
52.8%
OT
35.9%
58.2%
Final 5 min
45.8%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bolland
42.0%▼
44.5%
46.1%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2015 | 3 | 10:33 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 4, 2015 | 1 | 11:54 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 29, 2015 | 2 | 11:36 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 29, 2015 | 2 | 02:49 | Neutral | Dave Bolland |
| Oct 25, 2013 | 3 | 12:56 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 25, 2013 | 2 | 13:40 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 25, 2013 | 1 | 06:53 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 14, 2013 | 3 | 04:00 | Offensive | Dave Bolland |
| Jan 26, 2013 | 3 | 19:32 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 26, 2013 | 3 | 18:40 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 26, 2013 | 1 | 11:32 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 26, 2013 | 1 | 06:08 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 26, 2013 | 1 | 04:28 | Neutral | Dave Bolland |
| Mar 20, 2012 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 20, 2012 | 1 | 19:53 | Neutral | Dave Bolland |
| Mar 20, 2012 | 1 | 16:39 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 20, 2012 | 1 | 04:12 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 20, 2012 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |