Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansen on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Bolland wins 37.8% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bolland 46.8% vs Johansen 51.2% (-5.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bolland 62.0%
Defensive zone
Bolland 61.7%
Neutral zone
Bolland 60.9%
Result
Dave Bolland favored at 61.5%
61.5%
38.5%
Bolland
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Bolland
Johansen
Last 6: Bolland 2-4 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
1
2
Bolland
Johansen
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johansen
1
2
Bolland
Johansen
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bolland
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (411)
51.2% (447)
-4.7%
Power Play
41.9% (74)
53.4% (73)
-11.5%
Penalty Kill
51.5% (33)
44.4% (9)
+7.1%
On power play, Johansen has a +11.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Bolland is 37.8% vs right-shot opponents (148).
Bolland shoots right. Johansen is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (150).
Home / Away
Bolland
Johansen
Home
51.4% (280)
54.9% (255)
Away
39.9% (238)
48.2% (274)
By Period
Bolland
Johansen
P1
48.0%
51.7%
P2
41.5%
49.4%
P3
48.3%
51.8%
OT
57.1%
66.7%
Final 5 min
43.8%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bolland
42.0%▼
44.5%
46.1%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2013 | 3 | 04:00 | Offensive | Dave Bolland |
| Jan 26, 2013 | 3 | 19:32 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 26, 2013 | 3 | 18:40 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 26, 2013 | 1 | 11:32 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 26, 2013 | 1 | 06:08 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 26, 2013 | 1 | 04:28 | Neutral | Dave Bolland |