Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +9.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Kesler on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 23 meetings). Bolland wins 42.0% vs right-shot opponents — Kesler shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bolland 46.1% vs Kesler 55.9% (-9.9%)
H2H factor
Kesler leads 47-23 in 70 meetings
Offensive zone
Bolland 96.8%
Defensive zone
Bolland 86.9%
Neutral zone
Bolland 96.2%
Result
Dave Bolland favored at 92.8%
92.8%
7.2%
Bolland
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
23
-
47
(70 meetings)
23
47
Bolland
Kesler
Last 10: Bolland 4-6 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
4
19
Bolland
Kesler
23 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
13
14
Bolland
Kesler
27 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kesler
6
14
Bolland
Kesler
20 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bolland
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (3,388)
56.4% (8,095)
-9.8%
Power Play
50.1% (355)
60.7% (1,437)
-10.6%
Penalty Kill
40.7% (585)
50.5% (1,908)
-9.8%
On power play, Kesler has a +10.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Bolland is 42.0% vs right-shot opponents (1,249).
Bolland shoots right. Kesler is 55.6% vs right-shot opponents (3,497).
Home / Away
Bolland
Kesler
Home
48.2% (2,258)
57.2% (5,732)
Away
43.8% (2,080)
54.7% (5,751)
By Period
Bolland
Kesler
P1
45.8%
56.5%
P2
45.8%
55.9%
P3
47.0%
56.1%
OT
35.9%
46.0%
Final 5 min
45.8%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bolland
42.0%▼
44.5%
46.1%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2015 | 2 | 19:58 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 19, 2015 | 2 | 08:29 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 19, 2015 | 1 | 05:36 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 19, 2015 | 1 | 05:15 | Offensive | Dave Bolland |
| Nov 4, 2015 | 3 | 02:10 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 4, 2015 | 2 | 19:37 | Defensive | Dave Bolland |
| Nov 4, 2015 | 2 | 19:30 | Defensive | Dave Bolland |
| Nov 4, 2015 | 2 | 19:23 | Defensive | Dave Bolland |
| Nov 4, 2015 | 2 | 06:12 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 4, 2015 | 1 | 09:32 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 10, 2015 | 3 | 06:24 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 10, 2015 | 2 | 00:19 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 10, 2015 | 1 | 16:26 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 19, 2013 | 3 | 18:59 | Neutral | Dave Bolland |
| Feb 19, 2013 | 3 | 16:11 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 19, 2013 | 3 | 07:38 | Defensive | Dave Bolland |
| Feb 19, 2013 | 3 | 01:10 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 19, 2013 | 3 | 00:15 | Offensive | Dave Bolland |
| Feb 19, 2013 | 2 | 18:39 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 19, 2013 | 2 | 17:53 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |