Scouting Report
Shawn Horcoff holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Bolland on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Bolland wins 46.5% vs left-shot opponents — Horcoff shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bolland 45.6% vs Horcoff 48.5% (-3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horcoff 85.4%
Defensive zone
Horcoff 56.7%
Neutral zone
Horcoff 76.1%
Result
Shawn Horcoff favored at 74.1%
25.9%
74.1%
Bolland
Horcoff
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Bolland
Horcoff
Last 5: Bolland 4-1 Horcoff
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horcoff
0
1
Bolland
Horcoff
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bolland
1
0
Bolland
Horcoff
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bolland
3
0
Bolland
Horcoff
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bolland
Horcoff
Edge
Even Strength
46.0% (781)
51.8% (581)
-5.8%
Power Play
47.6% (84)
43.2% (125)
+4.4%
Penalty Kill
39.0% (141)
38.1% (84)
+0.9%
On even strength, Horcoff has a +5.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Horcoff shoots left. Bolland is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (772).
Bolland shoots right. Horcoff is 52.4% vs right-shot opponents (206).
Home / Away
Bolland
Horcoff
Home
45.9% (540)
49.2% (384)
Away
44.2% (468)
47.6% (429)
By Period
Bolland
Horcoff
P1
45.0%
45.8%
P2
44.7%
48.4%
P3
46.5%
51.0%
OT
23.1%
44.4%
Final 5 min
43.7%
47.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bolland
42.0%▼
44.5%
45.1%
Horcoff
62.0%▲
55.5%
48.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2011 | 2 | 05:14 | Neutral | Dave Bolland |
| Feb 9, 2011 | 1 | 14:46 | Neutral | Dave Bolland |
| Oct 29, 2010 | 1 | 15:57 | Defensive | Dave Bolland |
| Oct 29, 2010 | 1 | 10:21 | Neutral | Dave Bolland |
| Oct 29, 2010 | 1 | 07:01 | Offensive | Shawn Horcoff |