Scouting Report
Tim Connolly holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Bolland on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Bolland wins 42.0% vs right-shot opponents — Connolly shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bolland 46.1% vs Connolly 47.3% (-1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Connolly 79.7%
Defensive zone
Bolland 55.4%
Neutral zone
Connolly 55.5%
Result
Tim Connolly favored at 54.1%
45.9%
54.1%
Bolland
Connolly
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Bolland
Connolly
Last 6: Bolland 5-1 Connolly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bolland
1
0
Bolland
Connolly
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bolland
2
1
Bolland
Connolly
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bolland
2
0
Bolland
Connolly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bolland
Connolly
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (3,388)
47.4% (1,307)
-0.8%
Power Play
50.1% (355)
50.2% (251)
-0.1%
Penalty Kill
40.7% (585)
41.9% (186)
-1.2%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Connolly shoots right. Bolland is 42.0% vs right-shot opponents (1,249).
Bolland shoots right. Connolly is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (576).
Home / Away
Bolland
Connolly
Home
48.2% (2,258)
48.5% (870)
Away
43.8% (2,080)
45.9% (885)
By Period
Bolland
Connolly
P1
45.8%
47.4%
P2
45.8%
47.7%
P3
47.0%
47.0%
OT
35.9%
37.8%
Final 5 min
45.8%
42.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bolland
42.0%▼
44.5%
46.1%
Connolly
50.0%▬
51.0%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2010 | 1 | 10:27 | Defensive | Dave Bolland |
| Oct 16, 2010 | 1 | 07:57 | Defensive | Dave Bolland |
| Oct 16, 2010 | 1 | 05:12 | Offensive | Dave Bolland |
| Oct 16, 2010 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dave Bolland |
| Oct 11, 2010 | 2 | 10:30 | Defensive | Tim Connolly |
| Oct 11, 2010 | 1 | 07:44 | Neutral | Dave Bolland |