Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (45.1% vs 45.9%). Look for Bolland on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Bolland wins 40.7% vs right-shot opponents — Connolly shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bolland 45.6% vs Connolly 46.3% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Connolly 80.9%
Defensive zone
Bolland 60.9%
Neutral zone
Connolly 56.7%
Result
Tim Connolly favored at 51.9%
48.1%
51.9%
Bolland
Connolly
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Bolland
Connolly
Last 6: Bolland 5-1 Connolly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bolland
1
0
Bolland
Connolly
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bolland
2
1
Bolland
Connolly
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bolland
2
0
Bolland
Connolly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bolland
Connolly
Edge
Even Strength
46.0% (781)
47.0% (702)
-1.0%
Power Play
47.6% (84)
49.7% (165)
-2.1%
Penalty Kill
39.0% (141)
29.9% (97)
+9.1%
On penalty kill, Bolland has a +9.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Connolly shoots right. Bolland is 40.7% vs right-shot opponents (236).
Bolland shoots right. Connolly is 46.2% vs right-shot opponents (338).
Home / Away
Bolland
Connolly
Home
45.9% (540)
46.7% (512)
Away
44.2% (468)
45.1% (457)
By Period
Bolland
Connolly
P1
45.0%
46.5%
P2
44.7%
47.5%
P3
46.5%
44.0%
OT
23.1%
40.9%
Final 5 min
43.7%
42.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bolland
42.0%▼
44.5%
45.1%
Connolly
50.0%▬
51.0%
45.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2010 | 1 | 10:27 | Defensive | Dave Bolland |
| Oct 16, 2010 | 1 | 07:57 | Defensive | Dave Bolland |
| Oct 16, 2010 | 1 | 05:12 | Offensive | Dave Bolland |
| Oct 16, 2010 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dave Bolland |
| Oct 11, 2010 | 2 | 10:30 | Defensive | Tim Connolly |
| Oct 11, 2010 | 1 | 07:44 | Neutral | Dave Bolland |