Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (44.5% vs 44.6%). Look for Smith on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Bolland wins 47.0% vs left-shot opponents — Smith shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bolland 45.0% vs Smith 46.2% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bolland 51.0%
Defensive zone
Bolland 50.3%
Neutral zone
Bolland 57.5%
Result
Dave Bolland favored at 51.9%
51.9%
48.1%
Bolland
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Bolland
Smith
Last 5: Bolland 2-3 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Smith
0
1
Bolland
Smith
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
1
2
Bolland
Smith
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bolland
1
0
Bolland
Smith
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bolland
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
44.6% (716)
44.7% (190)
-0.1%
Power Play
58.1% (74)
40.0% (10)
+18.1%
Penalty Kill
36.9% (141)
45.2% (31)
-8.3%
On power play, Bolland has a +18.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Bolland is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (634).
Bolland shoots right. Smith is 43.9% vs right-shot opponents (66).
Home / Away
Bolland
Smith
Home
45.5% (446)
46.8% (111)
Away
43.5% (485)
42.5% (120)
By Period
Bolland
Smith
P1
44.6%
44.6%
P2
45.6%
43.6%
P3
44.2%
46.2%
OT
27.8%
40.0%
Final 5 min
43.3%
52.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bolland
42.0%▼
44.5%
44.5%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
44.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2014 | 3 | 01:19 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Oct 13, 2014 | 2 | 18:18 | Defensive | Dave Bolland |
| Oct 13, 2014 | 2 | 11:34 | Neutral | Dave Bolland |
| Oct 13, 2014 | 2 | 02:38 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Oct 13, 2014 | 1 | 03:46 | Defensive | Zack Smith |