Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.6% vs 50.7%). Look for Backes on neutral-zone draws (58% H2H, 19 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 50.6% vs Backes 50.7% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Backes leads 23-22 in 45 meetings
Offensive zone
Henrique 51.7%
Defensive zone
Henrique 50.9%
Neutral zone
Henrique 51.2%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 51.2%
51.2%
48.8%
Henrique
Backes
Head-to-Head Record
22
-
23
(45 meetings)
22
23
Henrique
Backes
Last 10: Henrique 3-7 Backes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
4
4
Henrique
Backes
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
10
8
Henrique
Backes
18 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backes
8
11
Henrique
Backes
19 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Backes
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (9,527)
51.1% (5,772)
-0.3%
Power Play
54.5% (1,762)
50.8% (1,082)
+3.7%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (1,822)
47.4% (930)
-1.2%
On power play, Henrique has a +3.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backes shoots right. Henrique is 49.7% vs right-shot opponents (4,629).
Henrique shoots left. Backes is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,704).
Home / Away
Henrique
Backes
Home
52.5% (6,418)
50.6% (3,936)
Away
48.8% (6,716)
50.7% (3,895)
By Period
Henrique
Backes
P1
50.6%
50.1%
P2
51.4%
51.5%
P3
50.2%
50.8%
OT
40.6%
42.9%
Final 5 min
50.4%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
50.6%
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2018 | 3 | 19:57 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Dec 20, 2018 | 3 | 19:39 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Dec 20, 2018 | 3 | 10:14 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Dec 20, 2018 | 2 | 18:05 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 20, 2018 | 2 | 09:10 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Dec 20, 2018 | 2 | 08:10 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Dec 20, 2018 | 2 | 07:44 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 20, 2018 | 1 | 14:54 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 20, 2018 | 1 | 11:57 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Dec 20, 2018 | 1 | 07:10 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Jan 12, 2016 | 3 | 13:34 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 12, 2016 | 3 | 03:19 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 12, 2016 | 2 | 18:03 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 12, 2016 | 2 | 11:30 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 12, 2016 | 1 | 13:36 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Nov 10, 2015 | 3 | 09:48 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Nov 10, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Nov 10, 2015 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Nov 10, 2015 | 1 | 12:40 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Nov 10, 2015 | 1 | 05:38 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |