Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Backes on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 50.8% vs Backes 49.3% (+2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backes 70.4%
Defensive zone
Lowry 72.2%
Neutral zone
Lowry 50.2%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 50.6%
50.6%
49.4%
Lowry
Backes
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Lowry
Backes
Last 8: Lowry 2-6 Backes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lowry
Backes
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backes
0
2
Lowry
Backes
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backes
1
3
Lowry
Backes
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Backes
Edge
Even Strength
51.4% (936)
46.0% (87)
+5.4%
Power Play
54.1% (85)
50.0% (22)
+4.1%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (274)
64.3% (14)
-16.5%
On penalty kill, Backes has a +16.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backes shoots right. Lowry is 51.6% vs right-shot opponents (467).
Lowry shoots left. Backes is 43.0% vs left-shot opponents (86).
Home / Away
Lowry
Backes
Home
52.9% (680)
52.6% (19)
Away
48.5% (615)
48.1% (104)
By Period
Lowry
Backes
P1
51.5%
52.4%
P2
51.5%
55.0%
P3
49.3%
35.9%
OT
60.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
50.8%
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 17, 2016 | 2 | 19:41 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Oct 17, 2016 | 2 | 18:33 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Oct 17, 2016 | 2 | 13:01 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 17, 2016 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Oct 17, 2016 | 1 | 13:56 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Oct 17, 2016 | 1 | 11:00 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Oct 17, 2016 | 1 | 02:29 | Defensive | David Backes |