Scouting Report
David Backes holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Backes on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Shaw wins 44.1% vs right-shot opponents — Backes shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Shaw 45.1% vs Backes 52.1% (-8.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Shaw 88.3%
Defensive zone
Shaw 73.3%
Neutral zone
Shaw 77.0%
Result
Andrew Shaw favored at 81.7%
81.7%
18.3%
Shaw
Backes
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
7
(8 meetings)
1
7
Shaw
Backes
Last 8: Shaw 1-7 Backes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backes
0
4
Shaw
Backes
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Shaw
Backes
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backes
0
2
Shaw
Backes
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Shaw
Backes
Edge
Even Strength
44.4% (430)
54.4% (726)
-10.0%
Power Play
40.9% (22)
47.8% (92)
-6.9%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (5)
40.4% (94)
-20.4%
On penalty kill, Backes has a +20.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backes shoots right. Shaw is 44.1% vs right-shot opponents (118).
Shaw shoots right. Backes is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (222).
Home / Away
Shaw
Backes
Home
45.5% (224)
50.8% (447)
Away
42.5% (233)
53.8% (465)
By Period
Shaw
Backes
P1
39.1%
51.8%
P2
41.7%
53.2%
P3
50.3%
52.8%
OT
0.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
43.2%
56.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Shaw
52.0%▲
48.5%
44.0%
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 2013 | 2 | 17:22 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Apr 27, 2013 | 1 | 00:16 | Defensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Apr 27, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Apr 14, 2013 | 1 | 05:56 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Apr 4, 2013 | 3 | 03:42 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Apr 4, 2013 | 3 | 03:30 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Feb 28, 2013 | 3 | 08:28 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Feb 28, 2013 | 2 | 13:56 | Offensive | David Backes |